No Texas
W-L: (12- 2) PR = 82.7552Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Lamar 51- 0 906 A We Michigan MIDA (10- 4, 76.3) 33-30 913 H Wash St P12 ( 7- 6, 82.0) 59-10 920 A Army AME ( 7- 6, 78.4) 45-38 927 H So Alabama SUN ( 4- 8, 67.5) 36-22 1010 H So Florida AME ( 9- 4, 84.7) 36-63 1018 H UTSA AME ( 7- 5, 77.0) 55-17 1024 A Charlotte AME ( 1-11, 49.9) 54-20 1101 H Navy AME (10- 2, 78.8) 31-17 1115 A UAB AME ( 4- 8, 68.2) 53-24 1122 A Rice AME ( 6- 7, 68.8) 56-24 1128 H Temple AME ( 5- 7, 71.4) 52-25 1205 A Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.0) 21-34 1227 N San Diego St MIDW ( 8- 5, 77.5) 49-47
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A We Michigan 33-30 3 1 1.81
913 H Wash St 59-10 49 6 +++ 8.00
920 A Army 45-38 7 -1 +++ 7.89
927 H So Alabama 36-22 14 21 0.00
1010 H So Florida 36-63 -27 3 --- -17.30
1018 H UTSA 55-17 38 11 + 2.99
1024 A Charlotte 54-20 34 28 0.00
1101 H Navy 31-17 14 9 ++ 4.78
1115 A UAB 53-24 29 9 ++ 4.74
1122 A Rice 56-24 32 9 ++ 5.32
1128 H Temple 52-25 27 17 0.00
1205 A Tulane 21-34 -13 -5 --- -8.48
1227 N San Diego St 49-47 2 5 - -3.21
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 H So Florida 36-63 -27 3 --- -17.30 1205 A Tulane 21-34 -13 -5 --- -8.48 1227 N San Diego St 49-47 2 5 - -3.21 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 H Wash St 59-10 49 6 +++ 8.00 920 A Army 45-38 7 -1 +++ 7.89 1101 H Navy 31-17 14 9 ++ 4.78 1115 A UAB 53-24 29 9 ++ 4.74 1122 A Rice 56-24 32 9 ++ 5.32 1018 H UTSA 55-17 38 11 + 2.99 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A We Michigan (10- 4, 76.3) 33-30 -23.59 27.63 5.26 0.98 64.51
3 H Wash St ( 7- 6, 82.0) 59-10 -17.88 33.34 -5.26 0.98 55.07
3 A Army ( 7- 6, 78.4) 45-38 -21.51 29.71 5.26 0.98 68.59
3 H So Alabama ( 4- 8, 67.5) 36-22 -32.42 18.80 -5.26 0.98 26.55
3 H So Florida ( 9- 4, 84.7) 36-63 -15.18 36.04 -5.26 0.98 -10.02
3 H UTSA ( 7- 5, 77.0) 55-17 -22.90 28.32 -5.26 0.98 45.23
3 A Charlotte ( 1-11, 49.9) 54-20 -50.04 1.18 5.26 0.98 12.63
3 H Navy (10- 2, 78.8) 31-17 -21.10 30.12 -5.26 0.98 48.76
3 A UAB ( 4- 8, 68.2) 53-24 -31.66 19.56 5.26 0.98 48.67
3 A Rice ( 6- 7, 68.8) 56-24 -31.09 20.13 5.26 0.98 49.81
3 H Temple ( 5- 7, 71.4) 52-25 -28.52 22.70 -5.26 0.98 34.21
3 A Tulane (11- 3, 82.0) 21-34 -17.89 33.33 5.26 0.98 -6.19
3 N San Diego St ( 8- 5, 77.5) 49-47 -22.36 28.86 -0.00 0.98 56.61
------
494.43
|
winning pts = 510.6499 losing points = -16.2172
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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